Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000401 0.000451 0.000505 0.000568 0.000639 0.000718 0.000812
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000315 0.000386 0.000471 0.000580 0.000717 0.000885 0.001106
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000248 0.000324 0.000421 0.000555 0.000736 0.000974 0.001316
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000213 0.000293 0.000401 0.000558 0.000784 0.001103 0.001591
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000194 0.000279 0.000399 0.000584 0.000864 0.001282 0.001963
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000170 0.000253 0.000375 0.000571 0.000884 0.001373 0.002214
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000146 0.000224 0.000344 0.000543 0.000874 0.001413 0.002386
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000134 0.000212 0.000336 0.000550 0.000920 0.001549 0.002738
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000128 0.000209 0.000341 0.000577 0.001001 0.001754 0.003247
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000116 0.000194 0.000326 0.000568 0.001019 0.001849 0.003563
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000108 0.000185 0.000318 0.000572 0.001058 0.001988 0.003988
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000099 0.000174 0.000307 0.000566 0.001080 0.002095 0.004363
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000094 0.000168 0.000304 0.000577 0.001137 0.002284 0.004958
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000088 0.000161 0.000298 0.000583 0.001185 0.002463 0.005571
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000078 0.000147 0.000278 0.000556 0.001161 0.002486 0.005824
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000141 0.000272 0.000559 0.001201 0.002657 0.006471
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000140 0.000277 0.000584 0.001296 0.002968 0.007536
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000132 0.000265 0.000572 0.001302 0.003068 0.008064
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000121 0.000247 0.000544 0.001266 0.003059 0.008294
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000117 0.000245 0.000551 0.001316 0.003277 0.009217
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000117 0.000250 0.000577 0.001420 0.003652 0.010690
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000111 0.000242 0.000569 0.001432 0.003780 0.011432
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000108 0.000238 0.000572 0.001476 0.004006 0.012542